14
Garryowen Green
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 40
Clonmel · Suir Blueway Handicap (0-60) · 1m 1f 168y
#11
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#11
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 8.9)
Highest class: BHA40
Recent avg: C4.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Cork | BHA40 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Gowran Park | BHA41 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Gowran Park | BHA42 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Killarney | BHA45 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Leopardstown | BHA49 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Roscommon | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1446% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength93%
Delivery trend +5.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/12/2025 | 12th | 100/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 25/04/2026 | 9th | 125/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 18/05/2026 | 9th | 300/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 11/06/2026 | 14th | 25/1 | 0% | 19% | +0.19 |
| 14/07/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 25/07/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 07/08/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 30/08/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 47% | +0.10 |