8
Incredible Army
3yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 53
Clonmel · Suir Blueway Handicap (0-60) · 1m 1f 168y
#10
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#10
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.8 /10 (raw 9.4)
Highest class: BHA59
Recent avg: C6.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Gowran Park | BHA59 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Ballinrobe | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Gowran Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Dundalk | BHA66 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-02-13 | Dundalk | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-09 | Dundalk | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 8-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength15%
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/2025 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 17/12/2025 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 09/01/2026 | 12th | 300/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 13/02/2026 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |
| 27/02/2026 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 08/04/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 08/05/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 25/07/2026 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |