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12

Mrs Lady Bella

3yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 43

Clonmel · Suir Blueway Handicap (0-60) · 1m 1f 168y

#13

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Well held in 3 maidens at up to 1m but a switch to a low-grade handicap provides her with a more realistic chance.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 10.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Limerick 19/06/2026 · Pos 13th of 16 · OR - · 7f Sft 12919/06C8C8 @ Limerick 11/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 1m50y Gd 12911/07C8C8 @ Gowran Park 25/07/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR - · 1m Goo 12925/07C8projClass-projected finish: 14th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-25Gowran Park?12th12th0
2026-07-11Limerick?5th5th0
2026-06-19Limerick?13th13th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0611/0725/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 148% of fieldRange 9-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength31%

Delivery trend -5.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/06/202613th150/10%20%+0.20
11/07/20265th80/10%20%+0.20
25/07/202612th300/10%8%+0.08