10
Ochtar Againn
3yo Filly · 9-4 · OR 48
Clonmel · Suir Blueway Handicap (0-60) · 1m 1f 168y
#14
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength33%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 10.0)
Highest class: BHA52
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Cork | BHA52 | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Gowran Park | BHA53 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Limerick | BHA53 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Cork | BHA54 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Gowran Park | BHA55 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Gowran Park | BHA56 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 140% of fieldRange 10-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -4.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10/2025 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 28/03/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 19/04/2026 | 21st | 150/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 05/05/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 01/06/2026 | 10th | 13/2 | 66% | 18% | -0.48 |
| 14/06/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 11/07/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 77% | +0.30 |
| 07/08/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 54% | -0.20 |
| 30/08/2026 | 16th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |