6

Queen Of Astolat

3yo Filly · 9-10 · OR 54

Clonmel · Suir Blueway Handicap (0-60) · 1m 1f 168y

#2

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

50%

Place Prob

32%

Rank

#2

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Maiden. Blinkered first time, last of 12 in handicap at Down Royal (13f, good, 28/1) 12 days ago. Cheekpieces go on this time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength21%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Nottingham 15/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 1m75y Goo 12615/1055 @ Chelmsford City 11/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 1m2f Std 1284 @ Wolverhampton 27/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m142y Std 12827/1245 @ Windsor 11/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 57 · 1m3f99y Goo 114 · beat its mark11/05/2026 · OR 57 par6 @ Yarmouth 11/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 57 · 1m3f104y Sft 127 · beat its mark11/06/2026 · OR 57 par11/066OR 575 @ Yarmouth 26/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 57 · 1m6f17y GF 120 · beat its mark26/06/2026 · OR 57 parBHA60 @ Sligo 05/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 60 · 1m5f56y Yie 134 · below its mark05/08/2026 · OR 60 par5/0860OR 60BHA56 @ Killarney 21/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 56 · 1m6f80y Gd 119 · beat its mark21/08/2026 · OR 56 parBHA55 @ Down Royal 04/09/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 55 · 1m4f194y Goo 129 · below its mark04/09/2026 · OR 55 par4/0955OR 55projClass-projected finish: 13th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Down RoyalBHA5512th12th0
2026-08-21KillarneyBHA566th6th0
2026-08-05SligoBHA608th8th0
2026-06-26Yarmouth53rd3rd0
2026-06-11Yarmouth63rd3rd0
2026-05-11Windsor56th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/1011/055/084/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1431% of fieldRange 10-14 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -0.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/10/20255th6/168%43%-0.26
11/12/20257th33/10%14%+0.14
27/12/20258th150/10%36%+0.36
11/05/20266th9/153%44%-0.08
11/06/20263rd5/287%71%-0.15
26/06/20263rd9/276%33%-0.43
05/08/20268th10/147%22%-0.25
21/08/20266th18/15%38%+0.32
04/09/202612th28/10%0%0.00