4

Sweetie Too

3yo Filly · 9-13 · OR 57

Clonmel · Suir Blueway Handicap (0-60) · 1m 1f 168y

#6

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Lightly-raced maiden. Creditable start to her handicap career when fifth of 14 at Galway (8.4f, soft, 50/1) 8 days ago, nearest finish after a tardy start.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength4%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.8)

Highest class: BHA59
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Gowran Park 01/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 1m Yie 1291/06C8C8 @ Naas 03/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 17 · OR - · 1m Goo 1293/08C8C8 @ Bellewstown 25/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 7f195y Goo 12925/08C8BHA59 @ Galway 08/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 59 · 1m98y Sft 129 · beat its mark08/09/2026 · OR 59 par8/0959OR 59projClass-projected finish: 4th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08GalwayBHA595th5th0
2026-08-25Bellewstown?4th4th0
2026-08-03Naas?8th8th0
2026-06-01Gowran Park?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/063/0825/088/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +20.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/06/202610th66/10%10%+0.10
03/08/20268th200/10%56%+0.56
25/08/20264th66/10%79%+0.79
08/09/20265th50/10%69%+0.69