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10

A Pretty Penny

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 64

Clonmel · Camida Gold Champion Handicap · 1m 1f 168y

#4

Rank

Odds

10/3

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#4

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Off the mark at Ballinrobe in May and found some improvement to score in minor event at Tramore (1½m, good to soft, 9/2) last month. Has work to do back in handicap company.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength43%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: BHA48
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Listowel 23/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 7f15y Hvy 12823/09C8BHA53 @ Gowran Park 20/10/2025 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR 53 · 7f Hvy 131 · beat its mark20/10/2025 · OR 53 parBHA50 @ Dundalk 27/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR 50 · 7f Std 119 · beat its mark27/02/2026 · OR 50 par27/0250OR 50BHA49 @ Dundalk 13/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 49 · 1m Std 119 · beat its mark13/03/2026 · OR 49 parBHA48 @ Ballinrobe 08/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR 48 · 1m1f133y Goo 126 · beat its mark08/05/2026 · OR 48 par8/0548OR 48BHA54 @ Gowran Park 01/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 54 · 1m1f120y Yie 134 · beat its mark01/06/2026 · OR 54 parBHA54 @ Ballinrobe 22/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 54 · 1m1f163y Yie 134 · beat its mark22/06/2026 · OR 54 par22/0654OR 54BHA53 @ Tramore 07/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 53 · 1m4f Goo 121 · beat its mark07/07/2026 · OR 53 parBHA61 @ Tramore 15/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 61 · 1m4f Goo 133 · beat its mark15/08/2026 · OR 61 par15/0861OR 61projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-15TramoreBHA611st1st0
2026-07-07TramoreBHA532nd2nd0
2026-06-22BallinrobeBHA544th4th0
2026-06-01Gowran ParkBHA545th5th0
2026-05-08BallinrobeBHA481st1st0
2026-03-13DundalkBHA495th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0913/0322/0615/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength88%

Delivery trend -2.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/09/20258th125/10%42%+0.42
20/10/202511th14/126%29%+0.02
27/02/20265th33/10%67%+0.67
13/03/20265th11/142%43%+0.01
08/05/20261st13/266%100%+0.34
01/06/20265th4/179%64%-0.15
22/06/20264th7/282%77%-0.05
07/07/20262nd13/266%90%+0.24
15/08/20261st9/276%100%+0.24