9

Femme Beauty

3yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 72

Clonmel · Camida Gold Champion Handicap · 1m 1f 168y

#3

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

11%

Place Prob

19%

Rank

#3

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won twice for Ken Condon earlier in 2026, including a claimer at Ballinrobe in June. Made perfect start for new connections when winning 4-runner handicap at Newmarket (July) last month by ½-length from Dont Get Me Wrong. A 3 lb rise doesn't look excessive and she arrives in better form than most.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength43%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA54 @ Navan 30/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 54 · 1m2f Hvy 123 · beat its mark30/03/2026 · OR 54 par30/0354OR 54C8 @ Gowran Park 08/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 53 · 7f180y Sft 132 · beat its mark08/04/2026 · OR 53 parBHA60 @ Gowran Park 05/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 60 · 1m Goo 138 · beat its mark05/05/2026 · OR 60 par5/0560OR 60BHA60 @ Ballinrobe 08/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 60 · 1m1f133y Goo 138 · beat its mark08/05/2026 · OR 60 parBHA57 @ Killarney 12/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 57 · 1m3f50y Gd 125 · beat its mark12/05/2026 · OR 57 par12/0557OR 57BHA62 @ Roscommon 18/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 62 · 1m4f17y Yie 130 · beat its mark18/05/2026 · OR 62 parBHA61 @ Limerick 10/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR 61 · 1m3f210y Goo 131 · beat its mark10/06/2026 · OR 61 par10/0661OR 61C8 @ Ballinrobe 22/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 61 · 1m1f163y Yie 140 · beat its mark22/06/2026 · OR 61 par5 @ Newmarket 15/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 69 · 1m2f GF 134 · beat its mark15/08/2026 · OR 69 par15/085OR 69projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-15Newmarket51st1st0
2026-06-22Ballinrobe?1st1st0
2026-06-10LimerickBHA613rd3rd0
2026-05-18RoscommonBHA624th4th0
2026-05-12KillarneyBHA571st1st0
2026-05-08BallinrobeBHA604th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/038/0510/0615/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +0.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/03/20269th12/137%33%-0.04
08/04/20263rd28/10%75%+0.75
05/05/20267th16/116%54%+0.38
08/05/20264th7/163%75%+0.12
12/05/20261st8/158%100%+0.42
18/05/20264th4/179%75%-0.04
10/06/20263rd14/126%87%+0.60
22/06/20261st13/891%100%+0.09
15/08/20261st8/158%100%+0.42