5
Quatre Bras
5yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 72
Clonmel · Camida Gold Champion Handicap · 1m 1f 168y
#8
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Naas | BHA77 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Dundalk | BHA78 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Leopardstown | BHA80 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Killarney | BHA80 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Limerick | BHA82 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Cork | BHA84 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength14%
Delivery trend -1.6% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 9th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/2026 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 15/04/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 73% | +0.46 |
| 24/04/2026 | 11th | 7/1 | 63% | 33% | -0.30 |
| 03/05/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 36% | +0.10 |
| 19/06/2026 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 13/07/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 57% | -0.24 |
| 16/07/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 40% | -0.02 |
| 15/08/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 62% | +0.14 |
| 23/08/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |