7

Sinbad My Dad

5yo Gelding · 9-3 · OR 68

Clonmel · Camida Gold Champion Handicap · 1m 1f 168y

#9

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fairly useful gelding with just the sole win to his name. Soon back on track when second of 16 in handicap at Naas (11f, good to firm, 11/1) in August but then followed that with a below-par effort behind Lough Leane at Down Royal last time. Wears first-time blinkers.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength1%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class: BHA65
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA71 @ Dundalk 21/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 71 · 1m2f150y Std 141 · below its mark21/11/2025 · OR 71 par21/1171OR 71BHA71 @ Dundalk 03/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 71 · 1m2f150y Std 131 · below its mark03/12/2025 · OR 71 parBHA71 @ Dundalk 09/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 71 · 1m4f Std 131 · below its mark09/01/2026 · OR 71 par9/0171OR 71BHA71 @ Dundalk 23/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 71 · 1m4f Std 141 · below its mark23/01/2026 · OR 71 parBHA70 @ Roscommon 30/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 70 · 1m2f63y Goo 130 · below its mark30/06/2026 · OR 70 par30/0670OR 70BHA70 @ Leopardstown 16/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 70 · 1m2f Goo 130 · below its mark16/07/2026 · OR 70 parBHA69 @ Leopardstown 06/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 22 · OR 69 · 1m1f Goo 139 · below its mark06/08/2026 · OR 69 par6/0869OR 69BHA69 @ Naas 23/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR 69 · 1m3f Goo 139 · beat its mark23/08/2026 · OR 69 parBHA68 @ Down Royal 04/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 68 · 1m2f145y Goo 139 · below its mark04/09/2026 · OR 68 par4/0968OR 68projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Down RoyalBHA688th8th0
2026-08-23NaasBHA692nd2nd0
2026-08-06LeopardstownBHA699th9th0
2026-07-16LeopardstownBHA704th4th0
2026-06-30RoscommonBHA706th6th0
2026-01-23DundalkBHA718th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/1123/016/084/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength25%

Delivery trend -1.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/11/20253rd11/142%85%+0.43
03/12/20253rd7/163%82%+0.19
09/01/20269th14/126%27%+0.01
23/01/20268th10/147%36%-0.11
30/06/20266th28/10%58%+0.58
16/07/20264th10/147%63%+0.15
06/08/20269th7/163%62%-0.01
23/08/20262nd11/142%93%+0.51
04/09/20268th15/261%46%-0.14