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7

Alto Sax

5yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 51

Clonmel · Camida Winning Solution Handicap (0-60) · 1m 1f 168y

#3

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Dual winner this season and showed form at least as good when runner-up at Navan last month. Caught further back than ideal after a typically slow start when sixth of 21 in handicap there (1¼m, good, 9/2) 11 days ago but is worth treating as if still in good form.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength28%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class: BHA40
Recent avg: C5.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA45 @ Leopardstown 12/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 20 · OR 45 · 1m Goo 127 · beat its mark12/04/2026 · OR 45 par12/0445OR 45BHA45 @ Gowran Park 20/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR 45 · 1m Goo 127 · beat its mark20/05/2026 · OR 45 parBHA44 @ Fairyhouse 05/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR 44 · 1m1f190y Goo 126 · beat its mark05/06/2026 · OR 44 par5/0644OR 44BHA50 @ Fairyhouse 12/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 17 · OR 50 · 1m4f Goo 132 · beat its mark12/06/2026 · OR 50 parBHA50 @ Leopardstown 09/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 22 · OR 50 · 1m1f Goo 132 · beat its mark09/07/2026 · OR 50 par9/0750OR 50BHA50 @ Killarney 15/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR 50 · 1m3f103y Gd 132 · beat its mark15/07/2026 · OR 50 parBHA52 @ Curragh 16/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 52 · 1m Goo 122 · beat its mark16/08/2026 · OR 52 par16/0852OR 52BHA52 @ Navan 27/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR 52 · 1m20y Goo 122 · beat its mark27/08/2026 · OR 52 parBHA51 @ Navan 05/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 21 · OR 51 · 1m2f10y Gd 133 · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 51 par5/0951OR 51projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05NavanBHA516th6th0
2026-08-27NavanBHA522nd2nd0
2026-08-16CurraghBHA529th9th0
2026-07-15KillarneyBHA505th5th0
2026-07-09LeopardstownBHA502nd2nd0
2026-06-12FairyhouseBHA509th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0412/0616/085/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1477% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength59%

Delivery trend -0.8% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/04/20265th11/271%79%+0.08
20/05/20264th11/486%80%-0.06
05/06/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
12/06/20269th7/282%50%-0.32
09/07/20262nd6/168%95%+0.27
15/07/20265th10/382%71%-0.11
16/08/20269th8/158%33%-0.25
27/08/20262nd9/276%92%+0.15
05/09/20266th9/276%75%-0.01