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8

Brewel Hill

10yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 49

Clonmel · Camida Winning Solution Handicap (0-60) · 1m 1f 168y

#7

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Yet to fire this season, albeit not ideally placed when 11¾ lengths eighth of 15 to Reponse Finale in handicap at Gowran (9.5f, good to firm, 28/1) 35 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength14%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.5 /10 (raw 7.8)

Highest class: BHA55
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA72 @ Cork 16/08/2024 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 72 · 1m Goo 142 · below its mark16/08/2024 · OR 72 par16/0872OR 72BHA72 @ Gowran Park 03/09/2024 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR 72 · 1m Gd 138 · below its mark03/09/2024 · OR 72 parBHA69 @ Limerick 11/06/2025 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 69 · 1m Gd 140 · below its mark11/06/2025 · OR 69 par11/0669OR 69BHA68 @ Ballinrobe 23/06/2025 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR 68 · 1m1f163y Gd 128 · below its mark23/06/2025 · OR 68 parBHA66 @ Ballinrobe 21/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 66 · 1m1f135y Goo 136 · beat its mark21/07/2025 · OR 66 par21/0766OR 66BHA62 @ Curragh 28/09/2025 · Pos 20th of 22 · OR 62 · 1m2f Yie 162 · below its mark28/09/2025 · OR 62 parBHA60 @ Tramore 07/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 60 · 1m4f Goo 144 · beat its mark07/07/2026 · OR 60 par7/0760OR 60BHA59 @ Ballinrobe 20/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 59 · 1m1f135y Goo 130 · below its mark20/07/2026 · OR 59 parBHA55 @ Gowran Park 12/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR 55 · 1m1f100y GF 137 · beat its mark12/08/2026 · OR 55 par12/0855OR 55projClass-projected finish: 7th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-12Gowran ParkBHA558th8th0
2026-07-20BallinrobeBHA5911th11th0
2026-07-07TramoreBHA605th5th0
2025-09-28CurraghBHA6220th20th0
2025-07-21BallinrobeBHA663rd3rd0
2025-06-23BallinrobeBHA6810th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0823/067/0712/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength76%

Delivery trend +8.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/08/20247th9/276%25%-0.51
03/09/202411th10/147%29%-0.19
11/06/20258th18/15%42%+0.36
23/06/202510th18/15%25%+0.20
21/07/20253rd10/147%75%+0.28
28/09/202520th22/10%10%+0.10
07/07/20265th33/10%64%+0.64
20/07/202611th20/10%9%+0.09
12/08/20268th28/10%50%+0.50