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9

Chou Chou

5yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 49

Clonmel · Camida Winning Solution Handicap (0-60) · 1m 1f 168y

#2

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

72%

Place Prob

57%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won this last year from 1 lb lower and has refound a bit of form on late, making the frame for the second start in a row when third of 16 in handicap at Navan (1m, good, 4/1) 14 days ago. Leading player.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 7.8)

Highest class: BHA42
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA50 @ Gowran Park 13/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR 50 · 1m1f100y Goo 132 · beat its mark13/08/2025 · OR 50 par13/0850OR 50BHA48 @ Clonmel 11/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 48 · 1m1f130y Sft 130 · beat its mark11/09/2025 · OR 48 parBHA54 @ Gowran Park 20/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR 54 · 1m Hvy 137 · beat its mark20/09/2025 · OR 54 par20/0954OR 54BHA56 @ Roscommon 13/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR 56 · 1m4f46y Sft 138 · beat its mark13/10/2025 · OR 56 parBHA54 @ Dundalk 13/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 54 · 1m2f150y Std 136 · beat its mark13/01/2026 · OR 54 par13/0154OR 54C8 @ Killarney 09/05/2026 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR - · 2m1f Goo 166BHA51 @ Gowran Park 01/06/2026 · Pos 13th of 16 · OR 51 · 1m Yie 134 · beat its mark01/06/2026 · OR 51 par1/0651OR 51BHA49 @ Gowran Park 12/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR 49 · 1m1f100y GF 131 · beat its mark12/08/2026 · OR 49 parBHA49 @ Navan 02/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR 49 · 1m20y Goo 131 · beat its mark02/09/2026 · OR 49 par2/0949OR 49projClass-projected finish: 4th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02NavanBHA493rd3rd0
2026-08-12Gowran ParkBHA494th4th0
2026-06-01Gowran ParkBHA5113th13th0
2026-05-09Killarney?14th14th0
2026-01-13DundalkBHA549th9th0
2025-10-13RoscommonBHA569th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0813/101/062/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +3.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/08/20255th11/271%73%+0.02
11/09/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
20/09/20257th6/168%57%-0.11
13/10/20259th22/10%47%+0.47
13/01/20269th28/10%38%+0.38
09/05/202614th150/10%7%+0.07
01/06/202613th18/15%20%+0.15
12/08/20264th25/10%79%+0.79
02/09/20263rd4/179%87%+0.08