IvyArcIvyArc
12

Hastily

7yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 40

Clonmel · Camida Winning Solution Handicap (0-60) · 1m 1f 168y

#10

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won 6f handicap at Cork last summer and not beaten far in refitted cheekpieces when bidding for a repeat in same race back there 7 weeks ago. Far from certain to back that up over this longer trip. Also reserve at Punchestown 5.13 Tuesday.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 12.7 /10 (raw 9.2)

Highest class: BHA40
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA49 @ Naas 04/08/2025 · Pos 11th of 18 · OR 49 · 5f205y Goo 131 · beat its mark04/08/2025 · OR 49 par4/0849OR 49BHA49 @ Bellewstown 26/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR 49 · 7f195y Goo 131 · beat its mark26/08/2025 · OR 49 parC9 @ Gowran Park 02/09/2025 · Pos 15th of 16 · OR 52 · 1m Goo 134 · below its mark02/09/2025 · OR 52 par2/09C9OR 52BHA50 @ Dundalk 17/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 50 · 7f Std 132 · beat its mark17/10/2025 · OR 50 parBHA49 @ Naas 09/05/2026 · Pos 16th of 16 · OR 49 · 5f Gd 119 · beat its mark09/05/2026 · OR 49 par9/0549OR 49BHA48 @ Gowran Park 20/05/2026 · Pos 15th of 16 · OR 48 · 1m Goo 130 · beat its mark20/05/2026 · OR 48 parC8 @ Tramore 30/05/2026 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR - · 2m50y Goo 15930/05C8C9 @ Gowran Park 12/06/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 43 · 1m Yie 125 · below its mark12/06/2026 · OR 43 parBHA41 @ Cork 24/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 19 · OR 41 · 6f GF 123 · beat its mark24/07/2026 · OR 41 par24/0741OR 41projClass-projected finish: 13th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-24CorkBHA419th9th0
2026-06-12Gowran Park?13th13th0
2026-05-30Tramore?14th14th0
2026-05-20Gowran ParkBHA4815th15th0
2026-05-09NaasBHA4916th16th0
2025-10-17DundalkBHA509th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0817/1030/0524/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 5-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength25%

Delivery trend -2.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/08/202511th10/147%41%-0.06
26/08/20252nd33/10%93%+0.93
02/09/202515th25/10%7%+0.07
17/10/20259th9/153%11%-0.42
09/05/202616th33/10%0%0.00
20/05/202615th66/10%7%+0.07
30/05/202614th300/10%7%+0.07
12/06/202613th125/10%8%+0.08
24/07/20269th11/142%56%+0.13