13

Jazz Dreamers
8yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 40
Clonmel · Camida Winning Solution Handicap (0-60) · 1m 1f 168y
#8
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 10.2 /10 (raw 7.2)
Highest class: BHA40
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Bellewstown | BHA40 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Gowran Park | BHA40 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Leopardstown | BHA40 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-01-30 | Dundalk | BHA40 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-01-09 | Dundalk | BHA40 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-19 | Dundalk | BHA41 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1438% of fieldRange 4-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength38%
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07/2025 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 18% | +0.02 |
| 26/08/2025 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 04/09/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 19/11/2025 | 14th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/01/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 30/01/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 09/07/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 25/07/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 25/08/2026 | 13th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |