13

Jazz Dreamers

8yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 40

Clonmel · Camida Winning Solution Handicap (0-60) · 1m 1f 168y

#8

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Timeform

Commentary

Winless since 2023 and no sign from his recent efforts that is about to change.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 10.2 /10 (raw 7.2)

Highest class: BHA40
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA50 @ Killarney 16/07/2025 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 50 · 1m40y Sft 132 · beat its mark16/07/2025 · OR 50 par16/0750OR 50BHA48 @ Bellewstown 26/08/2025 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR 48 · 7f195y Goo 130 · beat its mark26/08/2025 · OR 48 parBHA45 @ Laytown 04/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 45 · 7f Std 141 · beat its mark04/09/2025 · OR 45 par4/0945OR 45BHA41 @ Dundalk 19/11/2025 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR 41 · 1m2f150y Std 123 · beat its mark19/11/2025 · OR 41 parBHA40 @ Dundalk 09/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 40 · 1m Std 122 · beat its mark09/01/2026 · OR 40 par9/0140OR 40BHA40 @ Dundalk 30/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 40 · 1m2f150y Std 122 · beat its mark30/01/2026 · OR 40 parBHA40 @ Leopardstown 09/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 22 · OR 40 · 1m1f Goo 122 · beat its mark09/07/2026 · OR 40 par9/0740OR 40BHA40 @ Gowran Park 25/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR 40 · 1m1f110y Goo 122 · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 40 parBHA40 @ Bellewstown 25/08/2026 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR 40 · 7f195y Goo 123 · beat its mark25/08/2026 · OR 40 par25/0840OR 40projClass-projected finish: 10th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-25BellewstownBHA4013th13th0
2026-07-25Gowran ParkBHA4010th10th0
2026-07-09LeopardstownBHA408th8th0
2026-01-30DundalkBHA409th9th0
2026-01-09DundalkBHA407th7th0
2025-11-19DundalkBHA4114th14th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0719/119/0725/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1438% of fieldRange 4-14 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength38%

Delivery trend +0.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/07/202510th16/116%18%+0.02
26/08/202511th14/126%29%+0.02
04/09/20256th25/10%44%+0.44
19/11/202514th25/10%0%0.00
09/01/20267th50/10%54%+0.54
30/01/20269th80/10%38%+0.38
09/07/20268th50/10%67%+0.67
25/07/202610th16/116%25%+0.09
25/08/202613th12/137%14%-0.23