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4

Medieval Night

4yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 56

Clonmel · Camida Winning Solution Handicap (0-60) · 1m 1f 168y

#4

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#4

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Still a maiden but he arrives in good form, runner-up at Gowran last month before posting another creditable effort to finish fifth of 16 there (1m) 15 days ago. Respected again going back up in trip. Engaged Punchestown 5.13 Tuesday.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength30%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 6.6)

Highest class: BHA56
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA62 @ Gowran Park 20/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR 62 · 1m5f170y Goo 134 · below its mark20/05/2026 · OR 62 par20/0562OR 62BHA59 @ Gowran Park 01/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR 59 · 1m Yie 142 · beat its mark01/06/2026 · OR 59 parBHA57 @ Leopardstown 18/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 57 · 1m1f GF 139 · beat its mark18/06/2026 · OR 57 par18/0657OR 57BHA56 @ Roscommon 30/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR 56 · 7f94y Goo 138 · beat its mark30/06/2026 · OR 56 parBHA56 @ Leopardstown 09/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 22 · OR 56 · 1m1f Goo 138 · beat its mark09/07/2026 · OR 56 par9/0756OR 56BHA56 @ Killarney 15/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 56 · 1m40y Gd 138 · beat its mark15/07/2026 · OR 56 parBHA57 @ Naas 22/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 18 · OR 57 · 1m Goo 139 · beat its mark22/07/2026 · OR 57 par22/0757OR 57BHA56 @ Gowran Park 12/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR 56 · 1m1f100y GF 138 · beat its mark12/08/2026 · OR 56 parC9 @ Gowran Park 01/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR 59 · 1m Yie 141 · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 59 par1/09C9OR 59projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Gowran Park?5th5th0
2026-08-12Gowran ParkBHA562nd2nd0
2026-07-22NaasBHA576th6th0
2026-07-15KillarneyBHA567th7th0
2026-07-09LeopardstownBHA564th4th0
2026-06-30RoscommonBHA5610th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0530/0622/071/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1492% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%

Delivery trend +1.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/05/202610th40/10%25%+0.25
01/06/20268th12/137%53%+0.16
18/06/20263rd12/137%85%+0.48
30/06/202610th9/153%36%-0.17
09/07/20264th22/10%86%+0.86
15/07/20267th12/137%50%+0.13
22/07/20266th16/116%71%+0.55
12/08/20262nd6/168%93%+0.24
01/09/20265th10/147%73%+0.26