6

Miss Glenville

6yo Mare · 9-8 · OR 52

Clonmel · Camida Winning Solution Handicap (0-60) · 1m 1f 168y

#5

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Timeform

Commentary

Improved when fifth at Dundalk on qualifying run in November 2024 but failed to make an impact in a handicap there 2 months later. Returns from 20-month absence (left Shane Crawley) in first-time tongue strap/cheekpieces.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 8.8 /10 (raw 8.8)

Highest class: BHA61
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Naas 12/10/2024 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 7f Yie 13112/10C8C8 @ Gowran Park 21/10/2024 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f100y Sft 13321/10C8C8 @ Dundalk 13/11/2024 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 1m Std 13113/11C8BHA61 @ Dundalk 14/01/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 61 · 1m2f150y Std 140 · below its mark14/01/2025 · OR 61 par14/0161OR 61projClass-projected finish: 8th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-01-14DundalkBHA619th9th0
2024-11-13Dundalk?5th5th0
2024-10-21Gowran Park?14th14th0
2024-10-12Naas?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/1021/1013/1114/01
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1446% of fieldRange 4-14 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength8%

Delivery trend -12.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/10/20247th125/10%40%+0.40
21/10/202414th125/10%7%+0.07
13/11/20245th80/10%69%+0.69
14/01/20259th11/142%20%-0.22