6

Highwind

6yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 84

Clonmel · Jerry McDonnell Memorial Tipperary Perpetual Cup Handicap · 2m 174y

#7

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Hasn't stood much racing in recent seasons but confirmed his return to form when 4½ lengths fourth at Curragh (2m) in June, doing best of those ridden positively in a soundly-run race. Probably remained in form at Glorious Goodwood since but likely needs further respite from the assessor.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength8%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Cheltenham 15/03/2024 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 2m179y Hvy 15615/0311 @ Punchestown 04/05/2024 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 128 · 2m Sft 154 · below its mark04/05/2024 · OR 128 parBHA90 @ Killarney 14/05/2024 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 90 · 2m182y Sft 139 · below its mark14/05/2024 · OR 90 par14/0590OR 901 @ Leopardstown 02/02/2025 · Pos 13th of 18 · OR 128 · 2m Sft 150 · below its mark02/02/2025 · OR 128 parBHA86 @ Tramore 16/08/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 86 · 2m Goo 143 · below its mark16/08/2025 · OR 86 par16/0886OR 86BHA84 @ Down Royal 05/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 84 · 2m2f141y Gd 147 · below its mark05/09/2025 · OR 84 parBHA85 @ Curragh 24/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 24 · OR 85 · 1m6f Gd 135 · below its mark24/05/2026 · OR 85 par24/0585OR 85BHA85 @ Curragh 26/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 85 · 2m76y Goo 125 · below its mark26/06/2026 · OR 85 par2 @ Goodwood 31/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR 85 · 2m4f137y Goo 120 · beat its mark31/07/2026 · OR 85 par31/072OR 85projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-31Goodwood25th5th0
2026-06-26CurraghBHA854th4th0
2026-05-24CurraghBHA856th6th0
2025-09-05Down RoyalBHA844th4th0
2025-08-16TramoreBHA868th8th0
2025-02-02Leopardstown113th13th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/032/0224/0531/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength68%

Delivery trend +8.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/03/20249th33/10%27%+0.27
04/05/202410th28/10%0%0.00
14/05/202410th11/271%18%-0.53
02/02/202513th50/10%29%+0.29
16/08/20258th11/142%22%-0.20
05/09/20254th22/10%77%+0.77
24/05/20266th33/10%78%+0.78
26/06/20264th14/126%70%+0.44
31/07/20265th14/126%71%+0.45