7

Jabbar

7yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 84

Clonmel · Jerry McDonnell Memorial Tipperary Perpetual Cup Handicap · 2m 174y

#2

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

6%

Place Prob

17%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Well below form in a few starts on Flat this year but more like it back jumping recently with a couple of runner-up efforts, most recently on chasing debut at Downpatrick (19f, good) just over a fortnight ago. Needs to translate that back to the level.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C10.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA130 @ Kilbeggan 09/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 130 · 3m1f Goo 155 · below its mark09/08/2025 · OR 130 par9/08130OR 130BHA93 @ Clonmel 11/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 93 · 2m144y Sft 143 · below its mark11/09/2025 · OR 93 parBHA130 @ Punchestown 11/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 130 · 2m12y Sft 166 · below its mark11/12/2025 · OR 130 par11/12130OR 130BHA130 @ Wexford 17/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 130 · 2m Sft 166 · below its mark17/03/2026 · OR 130 parBHA92 @ Navan 30/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 92 · 1m6f Hvy 132 · below its mark30/03/2026 · OR 92 par30/0392OR 92BHA89 @ Leopardstown 15/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 89 · 1m4f Gd 149 · below its mark15/05/2026 · OR 89 parBHA87 @ Galway 27/07/2026 · Pos 17th of 20 · OR 87 · 2m179y Yie 159 · below its mark27/07/2026 · OR 87 par27/0787OR 87BHA129 @ Wexford 07/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 129 · 2m180y Goo 166 · below its mark07/08/2026 · OR 129 parC0 @ Downpatrick 31/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 2m3f100y Gd 16631/08C?projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Downpatrick?2nd2nd0
2026-08-07WexfordBHA1292nd2nd0
2026-07-27GalwayBHA8717th17th0
2026-05-15LeopardstownBHA899th9th0
2026-03-30NavanBHA927th7th0
2026-03-17WexfordBHA1304th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0817/0327/0731/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength42%

Delivery trend +1.4% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 5th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/08/20252nd13/891%67%-0.25
11/09/20256th12/137%50%+0.13
11/12/20253rd7/163%71%+0.08
17/03/20264th8/158%57%-0.01
30/03/20267th7/163%40%-0.23
15/05/20269th14/126%11%-0.15
27/07/202617th40/10%16%+0.16
07/08/20262nd5/174%86%+0.12
31/08/20262nd5/287%83%-0.04