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12

Lady Plimsoll

4yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 71

Clonmel · Jerry McDonnell Memorial Tipperary Perpetual Cup Handicap · 2m 174y

#4

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#4

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Consistent sort who has yet to win a handicap but again ran well after just 3 days off when second of 9 in handicap at Killarney (14.5f, good) last month. No reason why she won't be bang there again nudged up 1 lb.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength14%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Ballinrobe 23/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 67 · 1m1f163y Gd 140 · beat its mark23/06/2025 · OR 67 par23/06C8OR 67BHA70 @ Naas 24/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR 70 · 1m2f110y Goo 132 · below its mark24/08/2025 · OR 70 parBHA67 @ Thurles 09/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 67 · 1m4f132y Goo 123 · beat its mark09/10/2025 · OR 67 par9/1067OR 67BHA69 @ Dundalk 29/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 69 · 1m4f Std 136 · below its mark29/10/2025 · OR 69 parBHA69 @ Dundalk 19/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 69 · 2m Std 124 · beat its mark19/12/2025 · OR 69 par19/1269OR 69BHA70 @ Navan 30/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 70 · 1m2f Hvy 140 · beat its mark30/03/2026 · OR 70 parBHA70 @ Galway 31/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 18 · OR 70 · 1m6f14y Yie 140 · beat its mark31/07/2026 · OR 70 par31/0770OR 70BHA70 @ Roscommon 18/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR 70 · 1m4f48y Goo 140 · beat its mark18/08/2026 · OR 70 parBHA70 @ Killarney 21/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 70 · 1m6f80y Gd 140 · beat its mark21/08/2026 · OR 70 par21/0870OR 70projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-21KillarneyBHA702nd2nd0
2026-08-18RoscommonBHA702nd2nd0
2026-07-31GalwayBHA703rd3rd0
2026-03-30NavanBHA703rd3rd0
2025-12-19DundalkBHA692nd2nd0
2025-10-29DundalkBHA696th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0629/1031/0721/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%

Delivery trend +1.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/06/20251st9/488%100%+0.12
24/08/20255th5/174%73%-0.00
09/10/20252nd15/261%80%+0.19
29/10/20256th4/179%62%-0.17
19/12/20252nd14/126%92%+0.66
30/03/20263rd9/276%83%+0.07
31/07/20263rd12/137%88%+0.51
18/08/20262nd7/282%93%+0.12
21/08/20262nd13/891%88%-0.04