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11

Not Just Any Eagle

7yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 74

Clonmel · Jerry McDonnell Memorial Tipperary Perpetual Cup Handicap · 2m 174y

#8

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fourteen runs since last win in 2025 but couldn't have gone much closer at Leopardstown on penultimate start. Shaped as if still in good form but didn't see his race out faced with a stiffer test of stamina when fourth of 16 at Navan (2m, good) a fortnight ago so he's fancied to be involved.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: BHA55
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA81 @ Clonmel 11/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 81 · 2m144y Sft 131 · below its mark11/09/2025 · OR 81 par11/0981OR 81BHA84 @ Listowel 22/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 84 · 1m3f15y Hvy 125 · below its mark22/09/2025 · OR 84 parBHA84 @ Leopardstown 19/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR 84 · 1m4f Hvy 130 · below its mark19/10/2025 · OR 84 par19/1084OR 84BHA83 @ Gowran Park 08/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 83 · 1m5f180y Sft 143 · below its mark08/04/2026 · OR 83 parBHA82 @ Gowran Park 01/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR 82 · 1m4f40y Yie 142 · below its mark01/06/2026 · OR 82 par1/0682OR 82BHA80 @ Fairyhouse 12/06/2026 · Pos 14th of 18 · OR 80 · 1m6f40y Goo 140 · below its mark12/06/2026 · OR 80 parBHA76 @ Fairyhouse 08/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 76 · 1m5f200y Goo 128 · below its mark08/07/2026 · OR 76 par8/0776OR 76BHA76 @ Leopardstown 06/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 76 · 1m7f Goo 170 · below its mark06/08/2026 · OR 76 parBHA75 @ Navan 02/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR 75 · 2m Goo 165 · below its mark02/09/2026 · OR 75 par2/0975OR 75projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02NavanBHA754th4th0
2026-08-06LeopardstownBHA762nd2nd0
2026-07-08FairyhouseBHA763rd3rd0
2026-06-12FairyhouseBHA8014th14th0
2026-06-01Gowran ParkBHA827th7th0
2026-04-08Gowran ParkBHA8310th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/098/048/072/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength63%

Delivery trend -0.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/09/20252nd8/158%90%+0.32
22/09/20257th11/142%40%-0.02
19/10/20259th18/15%47%+0.41
08/04/202610th12/137%0%-0.37
01/06/20267th28/10%60%+0.60
12/06/202614th18/15%24%+0.18
08/07/20263rd6/168%71%+0.03
06/08/20262nd5/287%88%+0.01
02/09/20264th10/147%80%+0.33