3
War Rooms
5yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 88
Clonmel · Jerry McDonnell Memorial Tipperary Perpetual Cup Handicap · 2m 174y
#12
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 7.5)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Leopardstown | BHA88 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Killarney | BHA89 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Ballinrobe | BHA83 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Curragh | BHA86 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Leopardstown | BHA87 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-12-26 | Leopardstown | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength59%
Delivery trend -2.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10/2025 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 27/10/2025 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 06/12/2025 | 20th | 33/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 26/12/2025 | 15th | 100/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 15/04/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 23/05/2026 | 13th | 50/1 | 0% | 37% | +0.37 |
| 20/07/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 21/08/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 44% | +0.18 |
| 12/09/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 65% | +0.39 |