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3

Gallo Dell Cielo

6yo Gelding · 11-11 · OR 60

Clonmel · John Thomas McNamara Series (Q.R.) Handicap · 2m 174y

#2

Rank

Odds

6/5

Win Prob

69%

Place Prob

51%

Rank

#2

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Landed back-to-back Dundalk handicaps last winter and picked up right where he left off after a 6-month absence when impressively winning a 2m Tramore handicap last month by 7 lengths from Fine Print. Has gone up 15 lb for that success but remains well treated on all-weather form.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength42%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: BHA47
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA53 @ Gowran Park 26/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 53 · 1m1f110y Gd 136 · beat its mark26/07/2025 · OR 53 par26/0753OR 53BHA51 @ Tipperary 08/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 51 · 1m4f115y Goo 142 · beat its mark08/08/2025 · OR 51 parBHA51 @ Down Royal 05/09/2025 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 51 · 1m4f194y Gd 136 · beat its mark05/09/2025 · OR 51 par5/0951OR 51BHA61 @ Dundalk 19/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 61 · 1m4f Std 124 · below its mark19/09/2025 · OR 61 parBHA60 @ Dundalk 10/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 60 · 1m2f150y Std 142 · beat its mark10/10/2025 · OR 60 par10/1060OR 60BHA59 @ Dundalk 05/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 59 · 1m4f Std 141 · beat its mark05/12/2025 · OR 59 parBHA65 @ Dundalk 16/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 65 · 2m Std 135 · beat its mark16/01/2026 · OR 65 par16/0165OR 65BHA72 @ Dundalk 11/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 72 · 2m Std 132 · below its mark11/02/2026 · OR 72 parBHA50 @ Tramore 15/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 50 · 2m Goo 136 · beat its mark15/08/2026 · OR 50 par15/0850OR 50projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-15TramoreBHA501st1st0
2026-02-11DundalkBHA725th5th0
2026-01-16DundalkBHA651st1st0
2025-12-05DundalkBHA591st1st0
2025-10-10DundalkBHA607th7th0
2025-09-19DundalkBHA617th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0719/0916/0115/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +5.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/07/20256th11/271%58%-0.13
08/08/20252nd6/168%91%+0.22
05/09/202512th7/282%15%-0.66
19/09/20257th7/163%45%-0.18
10/10/20257th5/174%54%-0.20
05/12/20251st15/261%100%+0.39
16/01/20261st6/168%100%+0.32
11/02/20265th9/276%56%-0.21
15/08/20261st6/168%100%+0.32