5

Highlander Addict

5yo Gelding · 11-9 · OR 58

Clonmel · John Thomas McNamara Series (Q.R.) Handicap · 2m 174y

#3

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

9%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Seen to good effect when making all at Wexford on his fifth start in bumpers. Little show in trio of Flat maidens but should do better now tackling a staying handicap.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 6.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Galway 28/07/2025 · Pos 7th of 19 · OR - · 2m130y Gd 16428/07C?C0 @ Navan 20/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m7f165y Yie 164C0 @ Punchestown 30/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 2m90y Yie 16130/04C?C0 @ Tramore 29/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 2m Goo 168C0 @ Wexford 03/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 2m195y Gd 1683/07C?C8 @ Ballinrobe 20/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 1m4f179y Goo 135C8 @ Gowran Park 12/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f100y GF 14212/08C8C8 @ Navan 05/09/2026 · Pos 14th of 21 · OR - · 1m2f10y Gd 1405/09C8projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Navan?14th14th0
2026-08-12Gowran Park?12th12th0
2026-07-20Ballinrobe?8th8th0
2026-07-03Wexford?1st1st0
2026-05-29Tramore?3rd3rd0
2026-04-30Punchestown?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0729/0512/085/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 6-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -9.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/07/20257th100/10%67%+0.67
20/09/20252nd33/10%93%+0.93
30/04/20267th66/10%33%+0.33
29/05/20263rd1/195%80%-0.15
03/07/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
20/07/20268th12/137%13%-0.24
12/08/202612th125/10%0%0.00
05/09/202614th200/10%35%+0.35