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7

Piatra Neamt

5yo Mare · 10-8 · OR 43

Clonmel · John Thomas McNamara Series (Q.R.) Handicap · 2m 174y

#8

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Remains winless after 10 starts. Tries a new trip here but opposable unless market states otherwise.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 11.0 /10 (raw 10.0)

Highest class: BHA45
Recent avg: C5.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Killarney 15/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 1m30y Yie 13015/07C8C8 @ Gowran Park 02/09/2025 · Pos 14th of 16 · OR - · 7f Goo 133C8 @ Punchestown 16/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f58y Goo 13416/09C8BHA55 @ Navan 08/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 17 · OR 55 · 1m2f30y Yie 139 · beat its mark08/10/2025 · OR 55 parBHA54 @ Galway 27/10/2025 · Pos 18th of 18 · OR 54 · 1m3f180y Hvy 136 · below its mark27/10/2025 · OR 54 par27/1054OR 54BHA52 @ Limerick 25/04/2026 · Pos 15th of 16 · OR 52 · 1m3f190y Yie 134 · beat its mark25/04/2026 · OR 52 parBHA51 @ Ballinrobe 08/05/2026 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR 51 · 1m1f133y Goo 133 · below its mark08/05/2026 · OR 51 par8/0551OR 51BHA46 @ Roscommon 18/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR 46 · 1m4f17y Yie 128 · beat its mark18/05/2026 · OR 46 parBHA45 @ Sligo 05/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 45 · 1m5f56y Yie 127 · beat its mark05/08/2026 · OR 45 par5/0845OR 45projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-05SligoBHA458th8th0
2026-05-18RoscommonBHA465th5th0
2026-05-08BallinrobeBHA5114th14th0
2026-04-25LimerickBHA5215th15th0
2025-10-27GalwayBHA5418th18th0
2025-10-08NavanBHA556th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/078/108/055/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +7.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/07/20256th17/255%0%-0.55
02/09/202514th150/10%13%+0.13
16/09/20259th100/10%38%+0.38
08/10/20256th66/10%69%+0.69
27/10/202518th16/116%0%-0.16
25/04/202615th25/10%7%+0.07
08/05/202614th33/10%0%0.00
18/05/20265th50/10%73%+0.73
05/08/20268th20/10%46%+0.46