2

A Little Off

2yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 38

Delaware Park · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 6f

#5

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength5%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Delaware Park 20/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 6f 12020/08C9
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-20Delaware Park?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 2-7 · 50%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength54%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/08/20264th6/168%40%-0.28