6
It's The Law Baby
2yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 63
Delaware Park · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-08-15 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-07-21 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-06-24 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +3.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 21/07/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 15/08/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 03/09/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |