Sweet Bourbon Tea

2yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 59

Delaware Park · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▬

Strength22%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.6

Today:

Class gap: -0.1

Higher-class runs: 3

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-13	Delaware Park	?	4th	6th	−2	3.6
2026-07-06	Colonial Downs	?	5th	4th	+1	5.6
2026-05-22	Laurel Park	?	5th	4th	+1	5.6
2026-05-01	Laurel Park	?	4th	3rd	+1	6.6

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%

▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price

Trend▲

Strength54%

Delivery trend +11.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
01/05/2026	4th	13/2	66%	25%	-0.41
22/05/2026	5th	16/1	16%	0%	-0.16
06/07/2026	5th	25/1	0%	20%	+0.20
13/08/2026	4th	7/1	63%	50%	-0.13