4
Cheekiest
6yo Mare · 8-8 · OR 88
Delaware Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#7
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Colonial Downs | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-03-15 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-15 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-16 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength6%
Delivery trend +0.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 12/06/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 25% | -0.49 |
| 14/11/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 16/01/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 63% | -0.14 |
| 15/02/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 15/03/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 17/04/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 29/04/2026 | 8th | 10/3 | 82% | 13% | -0.70 |
| 14/08/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |