7
Classicals Finale
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 92
Delaware Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#6
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Colonial Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-24 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-25 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +0.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/12/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 64% | -0.13 |
| 21/01/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 08/02/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 89% | +0.36 |
| 25/02/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 78% | -0.05 |
| 24/04/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 44% | +0.29 |
| 03/06/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 27/06/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 88% | +0.19 |
| 19/07/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |
| 14/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 89% | +0.36 |