Princess Clemmie
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 81
Delaware Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#1
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
81%
Place Prob
60%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-07-08 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-07 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-10-19 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 17% | -0.36 |
| 07/09/2025 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 05/10/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 19/10/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 07/11/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 22/05/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 25% | -0.36 |
| 12/06/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 57% | -0.25 |
| 08/07/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 02/08/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |