2

Wicked Kitten
6yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 64
Delaware Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#4
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength66%
Delivery trend +2.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 15/10/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |
| 13/05/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 28/05/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 10/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 09/07/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 29/07/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 07/08/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 27/08/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 63% | +0.36 |