Call Me Toni
6yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 85
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 70y
#10
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 5.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Turfway Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-02-14 | Turfway Park | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-12-11 | Turfway Park | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2025-09-04 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 10th | 8th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -8.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 13th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07/2024 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 26/10/2024 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 04/08/2025 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 04/09/2025 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 11/12/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 14/02/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 60% | -0.27 |
| 14/03/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 86% | -0.04 |
| 24/07/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 29% | -0.56 |
| 20/08/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 56% | -0.02 |