12
Mezzo Soprano
3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 60
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 70y
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-02-13 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2026-01-17 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2025-11-22 | Laurel Park | ? | 8th | 10th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1536% of fieldRange 6-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength38%
Delivery trend +5.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 17/01/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 13/02/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 01/08/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |