Ruby Hamilton
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 66
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 70y
#12
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 6.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Colonial Downs | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-04-18 | Laurel Park | ? | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2025-11-15 | Laurel Park | ? | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2025-10-24 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-10-10 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -8.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/2025 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 02/03/2025 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 13/09/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 10/10/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 24/10/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.11 |
| 15/11/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 18/04/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 23/07/2026 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 22% | -0.49 |
| 20/08/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |