2
Secret Oaks
3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 63
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 70y
#14
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-20 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-01-16 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-12-14 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1529% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength48%
Delivery trend +4.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/12/2025 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 71% | -0.11 |
| 16/01/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 75% | -0.14 |
| 20/02/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |