7
Coal Mine
6yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 64
Delaware Park · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-11-28 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength35%
Delivery trend -1.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 26/05/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 18/09/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 28/11/2025 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 29/05/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 11/06/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/06/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 20% | -0.48 |
| 01/08/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 21/08/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |