4
Little Crybaby
5yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 70
Delaware Park · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-15 | Delaware Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength35%
Delivery trend -4.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 18/09/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/10/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 15/10/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 04/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 18/06/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 08/07/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 29/07/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 21/08/2026 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 17% | -0.70 |