6
El Ma'any
3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 80
Delaware Park · Race 7 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#10
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength18%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Colonial Downs | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-07-24 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-11 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-20 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-07 | Monmouth Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength81%
Delivery trend +1.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 12/04/2026 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 01/05/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 16/05/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 07/06/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 20/06/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 50% | -0.39 |
| 11/07/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 24/07/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 21/08/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 30% | -0.23 |