8
My Gal
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 88
Delaware Park · Race 7 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#12
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Delaware Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 4-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength35%
Delivery trend -5.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/03/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 01/04/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 78% | +0.62 |
| 19/04/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 01/05/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 88% | +0.09 |
| 29/05/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 25% | -0.46 |
| 10/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 75% | +0.22 |
| 08/07/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 30% | -0.07 |
| 01/08/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 56% | +0.40 |
| 20/08/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 56% | -0.15 |