2
Pippa's Noncents
3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 77
Delaware Park · Race 7 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Delaware Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-04-09 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength59%
Delivery trend -4.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/01/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 55% | +0.28 |
| 21/02/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 73% | +0.25 |
| 19/03/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 09/04/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 30/04/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 23/05/2026 | 4th | 11/8 | 93% | 25% | -0.68 |
| 10/07/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 22/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/6 | 96% | 50% | -0.46 |
| 20/08/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |