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12

Promaja

5yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 73

Delaware Park · Race 7 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 110y

#13

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 19/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 59 · 1m Gd 124 · beat its mark19/12/2025 · OR 59 par19/12C9OR 59C9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 16/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 64 · 1m Gd 121 · below its mark16/01/2026 · OR 64 parC9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 05/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 67 · 1m Gd 121 · beat its mark05/02/2026 · OR 67 par5/02C9OR 67C8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 18/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 69 · 1m Fm 123 · below its mark18/02/2026 · OR 69 parC8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 13/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 74 · 1m110y Fm 121 · below its mark13/03/2026 · OR 74 par13/03C8OR 74C8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 08/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 78 · 1m 119 · beat its mark08/04/2026 · OR 78 parC8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 29/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 73 · 1m Fm 123 · below its mark29/04/2026 · OR 73 par29/04C8OR 73C8 @ Colonial Downs 25/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 70 · 1m110y Yie 123 · below its mark25/07/2026 · OR 70 parC8 @ Colonial Downs 21/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 71 · 1m Fm 123 · below its mark21/08/2026 · OR 71 par21/08C8OR 71projClass-projected finish: 11th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-21Colonial Downs?5th6th−1
2026-07-25Colonial Downs?4th5th−1
2026-04-29Tampa Bay Downs?9th10th−1
2026-04-08Tampa Bay Downs?1st2nd−1
2026-03-13Tampa Bay Downs?4th5th−1
2026-02-18Tampa Bay Downs?6th7th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/1218/0229/0421/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 130% of fieldRange 3-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength41%

Delivery trend +3.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/12/20253rd12/137%75%+0.38
16/01/20264th9/153%67%+0.14
05/02/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
18/02/20266th13/266%44%-0.21
13/03/20264th12/137%70%+0.33
08/04/20261st1/195%100%+0.05
29/04/20269th16/116%0%-0.16
25/07/20264th33/10%73%+0.73
21/08/20265th20/10%60%+0.60