Undertaker
3yo Colt · 8-8 · OR 81
Delaware Park · Race 8 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
6/5
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-07-24 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-04-12 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-03-29 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-03-06 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-02-07 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 31/12/2025 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 18/01/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 07/02/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 06/03/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 29/03/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 43% | -0.18 |
| 12/04/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 63% | -0.27 |
| 24/07/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 20/08/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |