Where's Your Boom
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 80
Delaware Park · Race 8 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 2.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-02-05 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-31 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-11-23 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -16.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 86% | +0.25 |
| 23/11/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 89% | +0.10 |
| 31/12/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 83% | -0.06 |
| 05/02/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 20/08/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 25% | -0.46 |