7
Lifelong Dance
5yo Mare · 8-5 · OR 33
Durbanville · Hollywoodbets Durbanville Welcomes You Open Maiden · 4f 214y
#7
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength37%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 8.0)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Durbanville | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Kenilworth | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Kenilworth | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Durbanville | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-25 | Kenilworth | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-11 | Durbanville | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength55%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/11/2025 | 7th | 100/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 17/12/2025 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 21/01/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 11/02/2026 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 25/02/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 21/03/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 27/04/2026 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 31/05/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.13 |
| 07/07/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |