IvyArcIvyArc
6

Made In Chelsea

3yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 61

Durbanville · Hollywoodbets Durbanville Welcomes You Open Maiden · 4f 214y

#3

Rank

Odds

9/4

Win Prob

20%

Place Prob

25%

Rank

#3

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Last of 9 in minor event at Kenilworth (7f, good to soft, 9/2). Off 115 days. Back down in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Kenilworth 25/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 13225/02C8C8 @ Kenilworth 18/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 13218/04C8C8 @ Kenilworth 24/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y GS 13224/05C8projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-24Kenilworth?9th9th0
2026-04-18Kenilworth?3rd3rd0
2026-02-25Kenilworth?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0218/0424/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -33.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/02/20263rd5/287%78%-0.09
18/04/20263rd5/287%80%-0.07
24/05/20269th9/276%0%-0.76