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5

Roman Beauty

3yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 47

Durbanville · Hollywoodbets Durbanville Welcomes You Open Maiden · 4f 214y

#5

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Twelfth of 13 in maiden at Kenilworth (5f, good to soft, 66/1) 35 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Kenilworth 18/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 13218/04C8C8 @ Kenilworth 16/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 4f214y Sft 12716/05C8C8 @ Kenilworth 02/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 4f214y GS 1262/06C8C8 @ Kenilworth 12/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR - · 4f214y GS 12812/08C8projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-12Kenilworth?12th12th0
2026-06-02Kenilworth?7th7th0
2026-05-16Kenilworth?5th5th0
2026-04-18Kenilworth?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0416/052/0612/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -9.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/04/20262nd7/163%91%+0.28
16/05/20265th2/189%50%-0.39
02/06/20267th11/271%0%-0.71
12/08/202612th50/10%8%+0.08