4
Final Say
3yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 80
Durbanville · Join The Race Coast Turf Club Maiden Plate (F & M) · 7f 210y
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
8%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#3
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼4
Strength35%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.4
Today:
Class gap: +3.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Durbanville | ? | 7th | -2th | +7 |
| 2026-06-02 | Kenilworth | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +85.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/06/2026 | 7th | 11/4 | 86% | 14% | -0.71 |
| 27/06/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |