8
Ntibindi
4yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 62
Durbanville · Join The Race Coast Turf Club Maiden Plate (F & M) · 7f 210y
#5
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Kenilworth | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Kenilworth | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Durbanville | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Kenilworth | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-30 | Kenilworth | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-08-30 | Durbanville | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength94%
Delivery trend +1.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 30/08/2025 | 4th | 66/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 30/03/2026 | 9th | 11/1 | 42% | 0% | -0.42 |
| 02/06/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 07/07/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |
| 05/08/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 27% | +0.22 |
| 15/08/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 71% | +0.66 |