2

Remuneration

3yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 64

Durbanville · Join The Race Coast Turf Club Maiden Plate (F & M) · 7f 210y

#4

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fourth of 12 in maiden at Kenilworth (7f, good to soft, 20/1) 42 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Kenilworth 15/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 13215/04C8C8 @ Kenilworth 02/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 6f211y GS 1232/06C8C8 @ Kenilworth 05/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 6f211y GS 1265/08C8projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-05Kenilworth?4th4th0
2026-06-02Kenilworth?6th6th0
2026-04-15Kenilworth?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/042/065/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +72.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/04/20269th3/184%11%-0.73
02/06/20266th10/147%0%-0.47
05/08/20264th25/10%73%+0.73